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Rising Tempers, Rising Temperatures : A Look at Climate Change, Migration and Conflict and the Implications for Youth in the Sahel Region

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World Bank (WB)

Abstract: Section one of the papers provides a brief overview of the relationship between the Sahel region of Africa and climate variability trends and predictions, ultimately posing the primary research question of the study: Is the Sahel region more likely to have a higher probability of conflict and migration as a result of climate change and climate change-related events? In section two, research and analysis aim to identify causal paths between climate change, migration, and conflict via structural equation modeling focusing on recent climate change trends in the Africa and Sahel regions, particularly changes in temperature and rainfall, and analyzing the consequences of this climate variabil¬ity, namely migration and conflict. Section three brings the aspect of youth into the analysis, arguing that youth living in the rural Sahel region will likely find themselves particularly vulnerable to in¬creased climate change and variability, which will have direct and indirect implications on the security and livelihoods of these individuals. The paper explores the past, current and predicted issues faced by rural Sahel youth affected by the impacts of climate change, such as chronic unemployment and engagement in the illicit sector due to rural to urban migration from regions affected by drought, desertification and resource scarcity. The final section of the paper offers policy recommen¬dations for addressing negative climate-change related consequences through two key paths of intervention: (i) climate change adaptation measures and (ii) conflict and crime prevention measures.
Type: Report
Publications & Research
Publications & Research :: Working Paper
Link: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/23838
Subject: ACCESS TO EMPLOYMENT
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
JOBS
CIVIL CONFLICT
FINANCIAL SERVICES
ECONOMIC GROWTH
LOCAL CAPACITY
TEMPERATURE
ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION
REGIONAL STRATEGY
LIVESTOCK SYSTEMS
MIGRATION POLICY
INCOME
RAINFALL PATTERNS
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION
TERRORIST
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPLICATIONS
LOCAL GOVERNMENTS
CLIMATE CHANGE CONSEQUENCES
GOOD GOVERNANCE
LIFE SKILLS
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
SURFACE WATER
LEGAL STATUS
GOVERNMENT CAPACITY
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
TECHNICAL SKILLS
MODELS
PUBLICATIONS
CLIMATE-RELATED DISASTER
CONSEQUENCES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
SOCIAL PROGRAMS
VULNERABILITY
SCARCITIES
EXTREME WEATHER
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION MEASURES
INEQUITIES
KNOWLEDGE
INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
ARMED CONFLICT
LABOR MARKET
URBAN MIGRATION
HUMAN SECURITY
DISEASES
PER CAPITA INCOME
TROPICS
TRAINING
DRUG TRAFFICKING
FORCED MIGRATION
IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
POPULATION GROWTH
REGIONAL CLIMATE
FLOODS
CAPACITY
AVERAGE RAINFALL
DEMOCRACY
MIGRATION
NATURAL DISASTERS
RAINFALL
NUMBER OF MIGRANTS
LAND DEGRADATION
DISASTERS
POPULATION MIGRATION
SEASONAL RAINFALL
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
MIGRANTS
NATURAL RESOURCES
PRECIPITATION
UNEP
HOUSEHOLD ASSETS
FINANCE
IMPACT OF CLIMATE
CLIMATE TRENDS
PROGRESS
CLIMATE VARIABILITY
MIGRATION FLOWS
UNEMPLOYMENT
FOOD SECURITY
CLIMATE-CHANGE
POLICIES
ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY
CLIMATE CHANGE
IPCC
SCIENCE
DROUGHT
IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE
EXTREME EVENTS
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
RAPID POPULATION GROWTH
URBAN CENTERS
CLIMATE
CLIMATE RELATED DISASTERS
WORKSHOP
PUSH FACTOR
POPULATION DENSITY
URBAN AREAS
CLIMATE RISK
COLORS
SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE
SOCIAL DIMENSIONS
INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY
CLIMATE CHANGES
POPULATIONS
MARKET
SECURITY THREAT
MALARIA
WEATHER PATTERNS
POLICY
LIFESTYLES
CENTURY TEMPERATURES
RISK FACTORS
EVOLUTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE
MINORITY
CLIMATIC CHANGE
DESERTIFICATION
WARS
LOCAL COMMUNITIES
WAR
CHRONIC UNEMPLOYMENT
ASYLUM
AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
RURAL AREAS
INDIGENOUS PEOPLES
TEMPERATURES
YOUNG PEOPLE
RAIN
POPULATION
MEAN TEMPERATURE
CIVIL WAR
SCARCE RESOURCES
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS
POPULATION DATA
RESILIENCE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
HUMAN SETTLEMENTS
PREVENTION STRATEGIES
POPULATION INCREASES
PEACE
POLITICAL INSTABILITY
ECONOMIC CONDITIONS
CLIMATE IMPLICATIONS
NEGATIVE IMPACTS
DEVELOPMENT POLICY
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT




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